Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.047750 0.051983 0.056278 0.060955 0.065897 0.070955 0.076519
2025-03-02 0.039484 0.045505 0.051847 0.058999 0.066813 0.075065 0.084410
2025-03-09 0.033644 0.040873 0.048753 0.057920 0.068227 0.079397 0.092356
2025-03-16 0.030664 0.039008 0.048378 0.059564 0.072442 0.086691 0.103540
2025-03-23 0.027821 0.036974 0.047539 0.060457 0.075644 0.092761 0.113334
2025-03-30 0.025343 0.035108 0.046676 0.061132 0.078454 0.098296 0.122491
2025-04-06 0.022776 0.032892 0.045186 0.060878 0.080026 0.102297 0.129816
2025-04-13 0.021375 0.032000 0.045198 0.062347 0.083588 0.108603 0.139847
2025-04-20 0.019219 0.029952 0.043611 0.061704 0.084476 0.111649 0.145971
2025-04-27 0.017714 0.028642 0.042857 0.062011 0.086459 0.115967 0.153599
2025-05-04 0.016706 0.027922 0.042799 0.063149 0.089442 0.121488 0.162693
2025-05-11 0.016141 0.027768 0.043454 0.065188 0.093558 0.128418 0.173549
2025-05-18 0.014014 0.025262 0.040850 0.062888 0.092115 0.128483 0.176055
2025-05-25 0.012607 0.023705 0.039456 0.062120 0.092593 0.130918 0.181489
2025-06-01 0.011429 0.022399 0.038336 0.061657 0.093420 0.133768 0.187441
2025-06-08 0.011103 0.022394 0.039063 0.063732 0.097625 0.140961 0.198920
2025-06-15 0.010533 0.021956 0.039125 0.064861 0.100559 0.146537 0.208390
2025-06-22 0.009924 0.021404 0.038982 0.065675 0.103056 0.151554 0.217175
2025-06-29 0.009102 0.020431 0.038154 0.065463 0.104127 0.154698 0.223566
2025-07-06 0.008779 0.020285 0.038569 0.067038 0.107654 0.161082 0.234168
2025-07-13 0.007962 0.019207 0.037484 0.066378 0.108051 0.163316 0.239396
2025-07-20 0.007428 0.018594 0.037093 0.066709 0.109814 0.167356 0.246984
2025-07-27 0.007116 0.018363 0.037294 0.067912 0.112798 0.173038 0.256743